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Expected
Lost Customer Equity From Defected Customers, Future
Periods
This computation determines the loss in future equity represented
by customers lost in the current period. If this loss differs
significantly from the loss during other periods because of
changes in retention rates, then this can adversely affect
the current period’s Customer
Equity.
| Measure: |
 |
|
Expected
Lost Customer Equity From Defected Customers,
Future Periods
|
=
|
 |
where:
T
= the current period
NT-i = the number of
customers acquired i periods ago
rT-1-i,i = the proportion
of customers acquired i periods ago that still remain
at the end of T-1
1-rT,i
= the attrition rate for the current
period for customers acquired i periods ago
mT+k,i = the margin for
period k for customers acquired i periods ago
cT+k,i = the marketing
and customer service costs for period T+k for customers
acquired i periods ago
d = the discount rate |
| Example: |
| |
Using the survival and margin forecast in Table
Balance-3, Table
Flow-4 shows the results of this computation.
Compiling the totals from each component of Customer
Equity
flow results in the Customer
Equity
flow statement which is presented in Table
Flow-5.
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