Customer Retention
 
Decile Analysis to Guide Retention Actions

The sales manager of an industrial division at a components manufacturer wanted to evaluate the current sales-call policy of his field force. He asked his sales analyst to identify which accounts the sales force was targeting and how important they were relative to key accounts. He also asked the sales analyst to develop customer deciles based on sales and to append to each customer record an estimate of the account's profitability.

The resulting decile analysis appears in Table Decile-1. It shows that the bottom 30 percent of the division's customers represented only 2.4 percent of spending. Further analysis by the firm revealed that the customers in these three deciles were actually unprofitable to serve.

The sales manager then evaluated each sales person's sales call strategy. The manager found that the sales force made 50 percent of sales calls on the bottom 40 percent of accounts. This implied that the firm should change its targeting strategy for existing customers. There was no reason to market or target the bottom four deciles beyond some level of maintenance. Only those accounts with high sales potential warranted sales calls.

One solution for this manager would be to raise prices to low potential, low volume accounts and to reduce selling efforts directed at them. If these accounts attrite, the firm is no worse off. Firms often find that they can make many of these marginal accounts profitable if they raise their prices. Whatever tactics this sales manager chooses, the division is in a better position to differentially market to its customer base now that it has examined its profitability using decile analysis.
 
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